SIG Combibloc (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.82

SIGN Stock  CHF 17.63  0.49  2.86%   
SIG Combibloc's future price is the expected price of SIG Combibloc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SIG Combibloc Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SIG Combibloc Backtesting, SIG Combibloc Valuation, SIG Combibloc Correlation, SIG Combibloc Hype Analysis, SIG Combibloc Volatility, SIG Combibloc History as well as SIG Combibloc Performance.
  
Please specify SIG Combibloc's target price for which you would like SIG Combibloc odds to be computed.

SIG Combibloc Target Price Odds to finish over 19.82

The tendency of SIG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over ₣ 19.82  or more in 90 days
 17.63 90 days 19.82 
about 1.59
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SIG Combibloc to move over ₣ 19.82  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.59 (This SIG Combibloc Group probability density function shows the probability of SIG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SIG Combibloc Group price to stay between its current price of ₣ 17.63  and ₣ 19.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SIG Combibloc has a beta of 0.38. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SIG Combibloc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SIG Combibloc Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SIG Combibloc Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   SIG Combibloc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SIG Combibloc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SIG Combibloc Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9117.6319.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7917.5119.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6117.3319.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.0017.4717.93
Details

SIG Combibloc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SIG Combibloc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SIG Combibloc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SIG Combibloc Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SIG Combibloc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

SIG Combibloc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SIG Combibloc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SIG Combibloc Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

SIG Combibloc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SIG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SIG Combibloc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SIG Combibloc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding320 M
Cash And Short Term Investments300.2 M

SIG Combibloc Technical Analysis

SIG Combibloc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SIG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SIG Combibloc Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing SIG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SIG Combibloc Predictive Forecast Models

SIG Combibloc's time-series forecasting models is one of many SIG Combibloc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SIG Combibloc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SIG Combibloc Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about SIG Combibloc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SIG Combibloc Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for SIG Stock Analysis

When running SIG Combibloc's price analysis, check to measure SIG Combibloc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SIG Combibloc is operating at the current time. Most of SIG Combibloc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SIG Combibloc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SIG Combibloc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SIG Combibloc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.