Salim Ivomas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 338.1
| SIMP Stock | IDR 396.00 6.00 1.49% |
Salim |
Salim Ivomas Target Price Odds to finish below 338.1
The tendency of Salim Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 338.10 or more in 90 days |
| 396.00 | 90 days | 338.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Salim Ivomas to drop to 338.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Salim Ivomas Pratama probability density function shows the probability of Salim Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Salim Ivomas Pratama price to stay between 338.10 and its current price of 396.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Salim Ivomas Pratama has a beta of -0.37. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Salim Ivomas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Salim Ivomas Pratama is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Salim Ivomas Pratama has an alpha of 0.1013, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Salim Ivomas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Salim Ivomas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Salim Ivomas Pratama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Salim Ivomas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Salim Ivomas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Salim Ivomas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Salim Ivomas Pratama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Salim Ivomas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Salim Ivomas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Salim Ivomas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Salim Ivomas Pratama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Salim Ivomas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Salim Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Salim Ivomas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Salim Ivomas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.7 T |
Salim Ivomas Technical Analysis
Salim Ivomas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Salim Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Salim Ivomas Pratama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Salim Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Salim Ivomas Predictive Forecast Models
Salim Ivomas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Salim Ivomas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Salim Ivomas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Salim Ivomas Pratama
Checking the ongoing alerts about Salim Ivomas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Salim Ivomas Pratama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 79.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Salim Stock
Salim Ivomas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Salim Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Salim with respect to the benefits of owning Salim Ivomas security.