Sivers IMA (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.85

SIVE Stock  SEK 2.24  0.31  16.06%   
Sivers IMA's future price is the expected price of Sivers IMA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sivers IMA Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sivers IMA Backtesting, Sivers IMA Valuation, Sivers IMA Correlation, Sivers IMA Hype Analysis, Sivers IMA Volatility, Sivers IMA History as well as Sivers IMA Performance.
  
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Sivers IMA Target Price Odds to finish below 1.85

The tendency of Sivers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 1.85  or more in 90 days
 2.24 90 days 1.85 
about 1.68
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sivers IMA to drop to kr 1.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.68 (This Sivers IMA Holding probability density function shows the probability of Sivers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sivers IMA Holding price to stay between kr 1.85  and its current price of kr2.24 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sivers IMA Holding has a beta of -0.76. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sivers IMA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sivers IMA Holding is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sivers IMA Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sivers IMA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sivers IMA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sivers IMA Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.938.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.858.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.327.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.203.024.85
Details

Sivers IMA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sivers IMA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sivers IMA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sivers IMA Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sivers IMA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.33
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.76
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Sivers IMA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sivers IMA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sivers IMA Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sivers IMA Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sivers IMA Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 90.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.89 M.
Sivers IMA Holding has accumulated about 100.64 M in cash with (82.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sivers IMA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sivers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sivers IMA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sivers IMA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding142.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments456.2 M

Sivers IMA Technical Analysis

Sivers IMA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sivers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sivers IMA Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sivers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sivers IMA Predictive Forecast Models

Sivers IMA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sivers IMA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sivers IMA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sivers IMA Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sivers IMA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sivers IMA Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sivers IMA Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Sivers IMA Holding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 90.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (133.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 142.89 M.
Sivers IMA Holding has accumulated about 100.64 M in cash with (82.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77.
Roughly 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Sivers Stock Analysis

When running Sivers IMA's price analysis, check to measure Sivers IMA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sivers IMA is operating at the current time. Most of Sivers IMA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sivers IMA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sivers IMA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sivers IMA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.