Sixt SE (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 53.56
| SIX3 Stock | 53.70 0.30 0.56% |
Sixt |
Sixt SE Target Price Odds to finish below 53.56
The tendency of Sixt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 53.56 or more in 90 days |
| 53.70 | 90 days | 53.56 | about 38.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sixt SE to drop to 53.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.28 (This Sixt SE probability density function shows the probability of Sixt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sixt SE price to stay between 53.56 and its current price of 53.7 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sixt SE has a beta of -0.0386. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sixt SE are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sixt SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sixt SE has an alpha of 0.0324, implying that it can generate a 0.0324 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sixt SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sixt SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sixt SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sixt SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sixt SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sixt SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sixt SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sixt SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Sixt SE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sixt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sixt SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sixt SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 107.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 265.8 M |
Sixt SE Technical Analysis
Sixt SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sixt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sixt SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sixt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sixt SE Predictive Forecast Models
Sixt SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sixt SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sixt SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sixt SE in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sixt SE's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sixt SE options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Sixt Stock
Sixt SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sixt Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sixt with respect to the benefits of owning Sixt SE security.