Standard Lithium Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.71

SLI Stock   2.31  0.06  2.53%   
Standard Lithium's future price is the expected price of Standard Lithium instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Standard Lithium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Standard Lithium Backtesting, Standard Lithium Valuation, Standard Lithium Correlation, Standard Lithium Hype Analysis, Standard Lithium Volatility, Standard Lithium History as well as Standard Lithium Performance.
For more information on how to buy Standard Stock please use our How to Invest in Standard Lithium guide.
  
At this time, Standard Lithium's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to climb to 10.23 in 2024, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (4.17) in 2024. Please specify Standard Lithium's target price for which you would like Standard Lithium odds to be computed.

Standard Lithium Target Price Odds to finish over 26.71

The tendency of Standard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  26.71  or more in 90 days
 2.31 90 days 26.71 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Standard Lithium to move over  26.71  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Standard Lithium probability density function shows the probability of Standard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Standard Lithium price to stay between its current price of  2.31  and  26.71  at the end of the 90-day period is about 63.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Standard Lithium has a beta of -0.54. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Standard Lithium are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Standard Lithium is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Standard Lithium has an alpha of 0.9835, implying that it can generate a 0.98 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Standard Lithium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Standard Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Standard Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.439.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.079.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.499.76
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.04-0.04-0.04
Details

Standard Lithium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Standard Lithium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Standard Lithium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Standard Lithium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Standard Lithium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.98
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.54
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Standard Lithium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Standard Lithium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Standard Lithium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standard Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Standard Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Standard Lithium has accumulated 53.21 M in total debt. Standard Lithium has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Standard Lithium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Standard Lithium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Standard Lithium sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Standard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Standard Lithium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Standard Lithium has accumulated about 43.88 K in cash with (18.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Standard Lithium Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Standard Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Standard Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Standard Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding183.5 M

Standard Lithium Technical Analysis

Standard Lithium's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Standard Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Standard Lithium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Standard Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Standard Lithium Predictive Forecast Models

Standard Lithium's time-series forecasting models is one of many Standard Lithium's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Standard Lithium's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Standard Lithium

Checking the ongoing alerts about Standard Lithium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Standard Lithium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Standard Lithium is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Standard Lithium appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Standard Lithium has accumulated 53.21 M in total debt. Standard Lithium has a current ratio of 0.39, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Standard Lithium until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Standard Lithium's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Standard Lithium sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Standard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Standard Lithium's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Standard Lithium has accumulated about 43.88 K in cash with (18.03 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 14.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Standard Stock Analysis

When running Standard Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Standard Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Standard Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Standard Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Standard Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Standard Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Standard Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.