Soluna Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.21
| SLNH Stock | USD 3.33 0.10 2.92% |
Soluna |
Soluna Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 3.21
The tendency of Soluna Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 3.21 or more in 90 days |
| 3.33 | 90 days | 3.21 | about 24.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Soluna Holdings to drop to $ 3.21 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.35 (This Soluna Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Soluna Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Soluna Holdings price to stay between $ 3.21 and its current price of $3.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.78 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 4.33 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Soluna Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Soluna Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Soluna Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Soluna Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Soluna Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Soluna Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Soluna Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Soluna Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Soluna Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Soluna Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.86 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 4.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Soluna Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Soluna Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Soluna Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Soluna Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soluna Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Soluna Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Soluna Holdings currently holds 19.77 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Soluna Holdings has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Soluna Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 21.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.9 M. | |
| Soluna Holdings currently holds about 4.63 M in cash with (2.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31. | |
| Soluna Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of Soluna Holdings outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Soluna Holdings chief accounting officer sells shares worth ,527 |
Soluna Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Soluna Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Soluna Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Soluna Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.4 M |
Soluna Holdings Technical Analysis
Soluna Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Soluna Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Soluna Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Soluna Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Soluna Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Soluna Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Soluna Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Soluna Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Soluna Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Soluna Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Soluna Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Soluna Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Soluna Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Soluna Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Soluna Holdings currently holds 19.77 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.22, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Soluna Holdings has a current ratio of 0.63, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Soluna Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 21.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.9 M. | |
| Soluna Holdings currently holds about 4.63 M in cash with (2.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.31. | |
| Soluna Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 27.0% of Soluna Holdings outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Soluna Holdings chief accounting officer sells shares worth ,527 |
Check out Soluna Holdings Backtesting, Soluna Holdings Valuation, Soluna Holdings Correlation, Soluna Holdings Hype Analysis, Soluna Holdings Volatility, Soluna Holdings History as well as Soluna Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Soluna Stock please use our How to Invest in Soluna Holdings guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Soluna Holdings. If investors know Soluna will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Soluna Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (9.63) | Revenue Per Share 14.352 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 3.678 | Return On Assets (0.06) | Return On Equity (0.42) |
The market value of Soluna Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Soluna that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Soluna Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Soluna Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Soluna Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Soluna Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Soluna Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Soluna Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Soluna Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.