Saule Technologies (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.23
| SLT Stock | 1.28 0.01 0.79% |
Saule |
Saule Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 1.23
The tendency of Saule Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.23 or more in 90 days |
| 1.28 | 90 days | 1.23 | about 10.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Saule Technologies to drop to 1.23 or more in 90 days from now is about 10.37 (This Saule Technologies SA probability density function shows the probability of Saule Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Saule Technologies price to stay between 1.23 and its current price of 1.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Saule Technologies has a beta of 0.17. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saule Technologies average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saule Technologies SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Saule Technologies SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Saule Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Saule Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Saule Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Saule Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Saule Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Saule Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Saule Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Saule Technologies SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Saule Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Saule Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Saule Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Saule Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Saule Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saule Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Saule Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Saule Technologies Technical Analysis
Saule Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Saule Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Saule Technologies SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Saule Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Saule Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Saule Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Saule Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Saule Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Saule Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Saule Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Saule Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Saule Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Saule Technologies may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Saule Technologies has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Additional Tools for Saule Stock Analysis
When running Saule Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Saule Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Saule Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Saule Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Saule Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Saule Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Saule Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.