Simt Multi Strategy Alternative Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 10.07

SMSAX Fund  USD 10.07  0.05  0.50%   
Simt Multi-strategy's future price is the expected price of Simt Multi-strategy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Simt Multi Strategy Alternative performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Simt Multi-strategy Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Simt Multi-strategy Correlation, Simt Multi-strategy Hype Analysis, Simt Multi-strategy Volatility, Simt Multi-strategy History as well as Simt Multi-strategy Performance.
  
Please specify Simt Multi-strategy's target price for which you would like Simt Multi-strategy odds to be computed.

Simt Multi-strategy Target Price Odds to finish over 10.07

The tendency of Simt Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.07 90 days 10.07 
nearly 4.95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Simt Multi-strategy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is nearly 4.95 (This Simt Multi Strategy Alternative probability density function shows the probability of Simt Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Simt Multi-strategy has a beta of 0.23. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Simt Multi-strategy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Simt Multi Strategy Alternative will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Simt Multi Strategy Alternative has an alpha of 0.0087, implying that it can generate a 0.008742 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Simt Multi-strategy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Simt Multi-strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Simt Multi Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8210.0710.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.989.2311.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.8010.0510.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.0110.0510.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Simt Multi-strategy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Simt Multi-strategy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Simt Multi-strategy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Simt Multi Strategy.

Simt Multi-strategy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Simt Multi-strategy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Simt Multi-strategy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Simt Multi Strategy Alternative, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Simt Multi-strategy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Simt Multi-strategy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Simt Multi-strategy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Simt Multi Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 39.23% of its assets in cash

Simt Multi-strategy Technical Analysis

Simt Multi-strategy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Simt Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Simt Multi Strategy Alternative. In general, you should focus on analyzing Simt Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Simt Multi-strategy Predictive Forecast Models

Simt Multi-strategy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Simt Multi-strategy's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Simt Multi-strategy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Simt Multi Strategy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Simt Multi-strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Simt Multi Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 39.23% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Simt Mutual Fund

Simt Multi-strategy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Simt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Simt with respect to the benefits of owning Simt Multi-strategy security.
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