Diversified Healthcare (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.82

SNF Stock  EUR 2.07  0.04  1.97%   
Diversified Healthcare's future price is the expected price of Diversified Healthcare instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diversified Healthcare Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diversified Healthcare Backtesting, Diversified Healthcare Valuation, Diversified Healthcare Correlation, Diversified Healthcare Hype Analysis, Diversified Healthcare Volatility, Diversified Healthcare History as well as Diversified Healthcare Performance.
  
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Diversified Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 2.82

The tendency of Diversified Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 2.82  after 90 days
 2.07 90 days 2.82 
about 60.93
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diversified Healthcare to stay under € 2.82  after 90 days from now is about 60.93 (This Diversified Healthcare Trust probability density function shows the probability of Diversified Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Diversified Healthcare price to stay between its current price of € 2.07  and € 2.82  at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.9 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Diversified Healthcare has a beta of 0.0017. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Diversified Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diversified Healthcare Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diversified Healthcare Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diversified Healthcare Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diversified Healthcare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.102.076.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.015.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.146.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.962.212.45
Details

Diversified Healthcare Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diversified Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diversified Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diversified Healthcare Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diversified Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.78
β
Beta against Dow Jones0
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Diversified Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diversified Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diversified Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diversified Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diversified Healthcare has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Diversified Healthcare Trust has accumulated about 39.16 M in cash with (63.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.

Diversified Healthcare Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diversified Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diversified Healthcare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diversified Healthcare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding239 M
Dividends Paid9.5 M
Short Long Term Debt800 M

Diversified Healthcare Technical Analysis

Diversified Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diversified Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diversified Healthcare Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diversified Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diversified Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models

Diversified Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diversified Healthcare's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diversified Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diversified Healthcare

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diversified Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diversified Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diversified Healthcare has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Diversified Healthcare has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Diversified Healthcare Trust has accumulated about 39.16 M in cash with (63.32 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Diversified Stock

When determining whether Diversified Healthcare is a strong investment it is important to analyze Diversified Healthcare's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Diversified Healthcare's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Diversified Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Healthcare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Healthcare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Healthcare's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.