Dreyfusnewton International Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 22.74
| SNIEX Fund | USD 21.53 0.19 0.87% |
Dreyfus/newton |
Dreyfus/newton International Target Price Odds to finish below 22.74
The tendency of Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 22.74 after 90 days |
| 21.53 | 90 days | 22.74 | about 68.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dreyfus/newton International to stay under $ 22.74 after 90 days from now is about 68.0 (This Dreyfusnewton International Equity probability density function shows the probability of Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dreyfus/newton International price to stay between its current price of $ 21.53 and $ 22.74 at the end of the 90-day period is about 65.81 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dreyfus/newton International has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Dreyfus/newton International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dreyfusnewton International Equity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dreyfusnewton International Equity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dreyfus/newton International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dreyfus/newton International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dreyfus/newton International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dreyfus/newton International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dreyfus/newton International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dreyfus/newton International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dreyfus/newton International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dreyfusnewton International Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dreyfus/newton International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.25 |
Dreyfus/newton International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dreyfus/newton International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dreyfus/newton International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dreyfus/newton International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Dreyfus/newton International maintains 99.87% of its assets in stocks |
Dreyfus/newton International Technical Analysis
Dreyfus/newton International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dreyfusnewton International Equity. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dreyfus/newton International Predictive Forecast Models
Dreyfus/newton International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dreyfus/newton International's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dreyfus/newton International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dreyfus/newton International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dreyfus/newton International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dreyfus/newton International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dreyfus/newton International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Dreyfus/newton International maintains 99.87% of its assets in stocks |
Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund
Dreyfus/newton International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus/newton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus/newton with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus/newton International security.
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