Pharos Energy Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 2.68
| SOCLF Stock | USD 0.25 0.00 0.00% |
Pharos |
Pharos Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 2.68
The tendency of Pharos Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 2.68 or more in 90 days |
| 0.25 | 90 days | 2.68 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pharos Energy to move over $ 2.68 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Pharos Energy plc probability density function shows the probability of Pharos Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pharos Energy plc price to stay between its current price of $ 0.25 and $ 2.68 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Pharos Energy plc has a beta of -0.28. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Pharos Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Pharos Energy plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Pharos Energy plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Pharos Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pharos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pharos Energy plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pharos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pharos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pharos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pharos Energy plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pharos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Pharos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pharos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pharos Energy plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pharos Energy plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pharos Energy plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pharos Energy plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 134.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.5 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pharos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pharos Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pharos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pharos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 442.6 M |
Pharos Energy Technical Analysis
Pharos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pharos Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pharos Energy plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pharos Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pharos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Pharos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pharos Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pharos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pharos Energy plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pharos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pharos Energy plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pharos Energy plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Pharos Energy plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pharos Energy plc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 134.1 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 19.5 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Pharos Pink Sheet
Pharos Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Pharos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Pharos with respect to the benefits of owning Pharos Energy security.