Sony Group (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.01
| SONA Stock | EUR 17.50 0.10 0.57% |
Sony |
Sony Group Target Price Odds to finish below 17.01
The tendency of Sony Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 17.01 or more in 90 days |
| 17.50 | 90 days | 17.01 | about 63.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sony Group to drop to € 17.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 63.82 (This Sony Group probability density function shows the probability of Sony Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sony Group price to stay between € 17.01 and its current price of €17.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sony Group has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sony Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sony Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sony Group has an alpha of 0.0698, implying that it can generate a 0.0698 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sony Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sony Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sony Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sony Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sony Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sony Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sony Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sony Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Sony Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sony Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sony Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sony Group has accumulated 1.2 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 30.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sony Group has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sony Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sony Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sony Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sony to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sony Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Sony Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sony Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sony Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sony Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Sony Group Technical Analysis
Sony Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sony Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sony Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sony Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sony Group Predictive Forecast Models
Sony Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sony Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sony Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sony Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sony Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sony Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sony Group has accumulated 1.2 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 30.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Sony Group has a current ratio of 0.84, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sony Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sony Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sony Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sony to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sony Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Other Information on Investing in Sony Stock
Sony Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sony Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sony with respect to the benefits of owning Sony Group security.