Spacetalk (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.23

SPA Stock   0.16  0.01  6.67%   
Spacetalk's future price is the expected price of Spacetalk instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Spacetalk performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Spacetalk Backtesting, Spacetalk Valuation, Spacetalk Correlation, Spacetalk Hype Analysis, Spacetalk Volatility, Spacetalk History as well as Spacetalk Performance.
  
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Spacetalk Target Price Odds to finish over 0.23

The tendency of Spacetalk Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.23  or more in 90 days
 0.16 90 days 0.23 
about 8.32
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Spacetalk to move over  0.23  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.32 (This Spacetalk probability density function shows the probability of Spacetalk Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Spacetalk price to stay between its current price of  0.16  and  0.23  at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This usually implies Spacetalk market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Spacetalk is expected to follow. Additionally Spacetalk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Spacetalk Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Spacetalk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Spacetalk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.166.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.156.35
Details

Spacetalk Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Spacetalk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Spacetalk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Spacetalk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Spacetalk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.4
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Spacetalk Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Spacetalk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Spacetalk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spacetalk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Spacetalk has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Spacetalk has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spacetalk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 17.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.93 M.
Spacetalk has accumulated about 3.03 M in cash with (2.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SPACETALK Ltd Issues Employee Incentive Securities - TipRanks

Spacetalk Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Spacetalk Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Spacetalk's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Spacetalk's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding441.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.8 M
Shares Float369.1 M

Spacetalk Technical Analysis

Spacetalk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Spacetalk Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Spacetalk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Spacetalk Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Spacetalk Predictive Forecast Models

Spacetalk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Spacetalk's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Spacetalk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Spacetalk

Checking the ongoing alerts about Spacetalk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Spacetalk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Spacetalk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Spacetalk has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Spacetalk has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Spacetalk has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 17.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.7 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.93 M.
Spacetalk has accumulated about 3.03 M in cash with (2.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: SPACETALK Ltd Issues Employee Incentive Securities - TipRanks

Additional Tools for Spacetalk Stock Analysis

When running Spacetalk's price analysis, check to measure Spacetalk's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Spacetalk is operating at the current time. Most of Spacetalk's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Spacetalk's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Spacetalk's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Spacetalk to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.