Siam Wellness (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.65
| SPA Stock | THB 7.20 0.10 1.37% |
Siam |
Siam Wellness Target Price Odds to finish below 7.65
The tendency of Siam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 7.65 after 90 days |
| 7.20 | 90 days | 7.65 | over 95.72 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Siam Wellness to stay under 7.65 after 90 days from now is over 95.72 (This Siam Wellness Group probability density function shows the probability of Siam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Siam Wellness Group price to stay between its current price of 7.20 and 7.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Siam Wellness Group has a beta of -0.38. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Siam Wellness are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Siam Wellness Group is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Siam Wellness Group has an alpha of 0.2483, implying that it can generate a 0.25 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Siam Wellness Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Siam Wellness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siam Wellness Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Siam Wellness Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Siam Wellness is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Siam Wellness' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Siam Wellness Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Siam Wellness within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Siam Wellness Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Siam Wellness for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Siam Wellness Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Siam Wellness Group has accumulated 407.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 25.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Siam Wellness Group has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siam Wellness until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siam Wellness' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siam Wellness Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siam Wellness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 167.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (286.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (145.6 M). | |
| Siam Wellness Group has accumulated about 137.91 M in cash with (80.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of Siam Wellness outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Siam Wellness Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Siam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Siam Wellness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Siam Wellness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 855 M |
Siam Wellness Technical Analysis
Siam Wellness' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Siam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Siam Wellness Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Siam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Siam Wellness Predictive Forecast Models
Siam Wellness' time-series forecasting models is one of many Siam Wellness' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Siam Wellness' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Siam Wellness Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Siam Wellness for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Siam Wellness Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Siam Wellness Group has accumulated 407.17 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 25.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Siam Wellness Group has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Siam Wellness until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Siam Wellness' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Siam Wellness Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Siam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Siam Wellness' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 167.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (286.72 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (145.6 M). | |
| Siam Wellness Group has accumulated about 137.91 M in cash with (80.9 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 55.0% of Siam Wellness outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Siam Stock
Siam Wellness financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siam with respect to the benefits of owning Siam Wellness security.