Sparinvest Mellemlange (Denmark) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 101.25
| SPIMLOKLA | DKK 101.70 0.05 0.05% |
Sparinvest |
Sparinvest Mellemlange Target Price Odds to finish over 101.25
The tendency of Sparinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above kr 101.25 in 90 days |
| 101.70 | 90 days | 101.25 | about 25.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sparinvest Mellemlange to stay above kr 101.25 in 90 days from now is about 25.96 (This Sparinvest Mellemlange probability density function shows the probability of Sparinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sparinvest Mellemlange price to stay between kr 101.25 and its current price of kr101.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sparinvest Mellemlange has a beta of -0.0235. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sparinvest Mellemlange are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sparinvest Mellemlange is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sparinvest Mellemlange has an alpha of 0.0197, implying that it can generate a 0.0197 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Sparinvest Mellemlange Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sparinvest Mellemlange
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sparinvest Mellemlange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sparinvest Mellemlange Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sparinvest Mellemlange is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sparinvest Mellemlange's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sparinvest Mellemlange, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sparinvest Mellemlange within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.61 |
Sparinvest Mellemlange Technical Analysis
Sparinvest Mellemlange's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sparinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sparinvest Mellemlange. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sparinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sparinvest Mellemlange Predictive Forecast Models
Sparinvest Mellemlange's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sparinvest Mellemlange's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sparinvest Mellemlange's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Sparinvest Mellemlange in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Sparinvest Mellemlange's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Sparinvest Mellemlange options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Sparinvest Fund
Sparinvest Mellemlange financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sparinvest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sparinvest with respect to the benefits of owning Sparinvest Mellemlange security.
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