Steel Partners Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.01

SPLP Stock  USD 41.05  0.05  0.12%   
Steel Partners' future price is the expected price of Steel Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Steel Partners Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Steel Partners Backtesting, Steel Partners Valuation, Steel Partners Correlation, Steel Partners Hype Analysis, Steel Partners Volatility, Steel Partners History as well as Steel Partners Performance.
  
At this time, Steel Partners' Price To Sales Ratio is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 11/22/2024, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 5.97, though Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to (26.94). Please specify Steel Partners' target price for which you would like Steel Partners odds to be computed.

Steel Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 39.01

The tendency of Steel Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 39.01  or more in 90 days
 41.05 90 days 39.01 
about 12.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Steel Partners to drop to $ 39.01  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.94 (This Steel Partners Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Steel Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Steel Partners Holdings price to stay between $ 39.01  and its current price of $41.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Steel Partners has a beta of 0.6. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Steel Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Steel Partners Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Steel Partners Holdings has an alpha of 0.0422, implying that it can generate a 0.0422 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Steel Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Steel Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Steel Partners Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3141.0043.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9433.6345.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4742.1644.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.8740.0642.24
Details

Steel Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Steel Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Steel Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Steel Partners Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Steel Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.60
σ
Overall volatility
1.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.001

Steel Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Steel Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Steel Partners Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Maruichi Steel Tubes Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Steel Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Steel Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Steel Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steel Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding25.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments577.9 M

Steel Partners Technical Analysis

Steel Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Steel Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Steel Partners Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Steel Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Steel Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Steel Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Steel Partners' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Steel Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Steel Partners Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Steel Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Steel Partners Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Maruichi Steel Tubes Soft Earnings Are Actually Better Than They Appear

Additional Tools for Steel Stock Analysis

When running Steel Partners' price analysis, check to measure Steel Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Steel Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Steel Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Steel Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Steel Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Steel Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.