Siriuspoint Preferred Stock Probability of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Under 21.92

SPNT-PB Preferred Stock   25.31  0.06  0.24%   
SiriusPoint's future price is the expected price of SiriusPoint instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of SiriusPoint performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out SiriusPoint Backtesting, SiriusPoint Valuation, SiriusPoint Correlation, SiriusPoint Hype Analysis, SiriusPoint Volatility, SiriusPoint History as well as SiriusPoint Performance.
For information on how to trade SiriusPoint Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade SiriusPoint Preferred Stock guide.
  
Please specify SiriusPoint's target price for which you would like SiriusPoint odds to be computed.

SiriusPoint Target Price Odds to finish below 21.92

The tendency of SiriusPoint Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  21.92  or more in 90 days
 25.31 90 days 21.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SiriusPoint to drop to  21.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This SiriusPoint probability density function shows the probability of SiriusPoint Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SiriusPoint price to stay between  21.92  and its current price of 25.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 99.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SiriusPoint has a beta of -0.0625. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SiriusPoint are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SiriusPoint is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SiriusPoint has an alpha of 0.0292, implying that it can generate a 0.0292 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   SiriusPoint Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for SiriusPoint

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SiriusPoint. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.0525.3125.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.8925.1525.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.1725.4325.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.9125.1325.35
Details

SiriusPoint Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SiriusPoint is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SiriusPoint's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SiriusPoint, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SiriusPoint within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.17
Ir
Information ratio -0.3

SiriusPoint Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SiriusPoint for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SiriusPoint can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SiriusPoint has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 66 M. Net Loss for the year was (386 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (129.2 M).

SiriusPoint Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SiriusPoint Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SiriusPoint's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SiriusPoint's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding160.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 B

SiriusPoint Technical Analysis

SiriusPoint's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SiriusPoint Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SiriusPoint. In general, you should focus on analyzing SiriusPoint Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

SiriusPoint Predictive Forecast Models

SiriusPoint's time-series forecasting models is one of many SiriusPoint's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SiriusPoint's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about SiriusPoint

Checking the ongoing alerts about SiriusPoint for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SiriusPoint help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
SiriusPoint has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 66 M. Net Loss for the year was (386 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (129.2 M).

Other Information on Investing in SiriusPoint Preferred Stock

SiriusPoint financial ratios help investors to determine whether SiriusPoint Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SiriusPoint with respect to the benefits of owning SiriusPoint security.