Snap On (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 348.4

SPU Stock  EUR 348.40  0.40  0.11%   
Snap On's future price is the expected price of Snap On instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Snap on Incorporated performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Snap On Backtesting, Snap On Valuation, Snap On Correlation, Snap On Hype Analysis, Snap On Volatility, Snap On History as well as Snap On Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Snap Stock please use our How to Invest in Snap On guide.
  
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Snap On Target Price Odds to finish below 348.4

The tendency of Snap Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 348.40 90 days 348.40 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Snap On to move below current price in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Snap on Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Snap Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually implies Snap on Incorporated market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Snap On is expected to follow. Additionally Snap on Incorporated has an alpha of 0.3771, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Snap On Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Snap On

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Snap on. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
346.62348.40350.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
313.56382.38384.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
350.51352.29354.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
335.69342.99350.28
Details

Snap On Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Snap On is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Snap On's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Snap on Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Snap On within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.05
σ
Overall volatility
38.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Snap On Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Snap On for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Snap on can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Snap On Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Snap Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Snap On's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Snap On's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53 M

Snap On Technical Analysis

Snap On's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Snap Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Snap on Incorporated. In general, you should focus on analyzing Snap Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Snap On Predictive Forecast Models

Snap On's time-series forecasting models is one of many Snap On's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Snap On's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Snap on

Checking the ongoing alerts about Snap On for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Snap on help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Snap Stock

Snap On financial ratios help investors to determine whether Snap Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Snap with respect to the benefits of owning Snap On security.