Susquehanna Community Financial Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 16.05
| SQCF Stock | USD 12.45 0.55 4.62% |
Susquehanna |
Susquehanna Community Target Price Odds to finish over 16.05
The tendency of Susquehanna Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.05 or more in 90 days |
| 12.45 | 90 days | 16.05 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Susquehanna Community to move over $ 16.05 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Susquehanna Community Financial probability density function shows the probability of Susquehanna Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Susquehanna Community price to stay between its current price of $ 12.45 and $ 16.05 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Susquehanna Community has a beta of 0.66. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Susquehanna Community average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Susquehanna Community Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Susquehanna Community Financial has an alpha of 0.0419, implying that it can generate a 0.0419 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Susquehanna Community Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Susquehanna Community
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Susquehanna Community. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Susquehanna Community's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Susquehanna Community Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Susquehanna Community is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Susquehanna Community's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Susquehanna Community Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Susquehanna Community within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.000099 |
Susquehanna Community Technical Analysis
Susquehanna Community's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Susquehanna Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Susquehanna Community Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Susquehanna Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Susquehanna Community Predictive Forecast Models
Susquehanna Community's time-series forecasting models is one of many Susquehanna Community's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Susquehanna Community's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Susquehanna Community in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Susquehanna Community's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Susquehanna Community options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Susquehanna Pink Sheet
Susquehanna Community financial ratios help investors to determine whether Susquehanna Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Susquehanna with respect to the benefits of owning Susquehanna Community security.