Swissinvest Real (Switzerland) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 206.5
| SREF Fund | 210.00 3.00 1.45% |
Swissinvest |
Swissinvest Real Target Price Odds to finish below 206.5
The tendency of Swissinvest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 206.50 or more in 90 days |
| 210.00 | 90 days | 206.50 | about 92.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swissinvest Real to drop to 206.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 92.73 (This Swissinvest Real Estate probability density function shows the probability of Swissinvest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Swissinvest Real Estate price to stay between 206.50 and its current price of 210.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swissinvest Real Estate has a beta of -0.13. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Swissinvest Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Swissinvest Real Estate is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Swissinvest Real Estate has an alpha of 0.1177, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Swissinvest Real Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Swissinvest Real
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swissinvest Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Swissinvest Real Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swissinvest Real is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swissinvest Real's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Swissinvest Real Estate, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swissinvest Real within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Swissinvest Real Technical Analysis
Swissinvest Real's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Swissinvest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Swissinvest Real Estate. In general, you should focus on analyzing Swissinvest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Swissinvest Real Predictive Forecast Models
Swissinvest Real's time-series forecasting models is one of many Swissinvest Real's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Swissinvest Real's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Swissinvest Real in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Swissinvest Real's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Swissinvest Real options trading.
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