Stringer Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.86

SRGCX Fund  USD 12.78  0.05  0.39%   
Stringer Growth's future price is the expected price of Stringer Growth instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stringer Growth Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stringer Growth Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stringer Growth Correlation, Stringer Growth Hype Analysis, Stringer Growth Volatility, Stringer Growth History as well as Stringer Growth Performance.
  
Please specify Stringer Growth's target price for which you would like Stringer Growth odds to be computed.

Stringer Growth Target Price Odds to finish over 13.86

The tendency of Stringer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.86  or more in 90 days
 12.78 90 days 13.86 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stringer Growth to move over $ 13.86  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Stringer Growth Fund probability density function shows the probability of Stringer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Stringer Growth price to stay between its current price of $ 12.78  and $ 13.86  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stringer Growth has a beta of 0.53. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Stringer Growth average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Stringer Growth Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Stringer Growth Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Stringer Growth Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stringer Growth

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stringer Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stringer Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.3312.7813.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.3012.7513.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.2812.7313.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.6712.8012.92
Details

Stringer Growth Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stringer Growth is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stringer Growth's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stringer Growth Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stringer Growth within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Stringer Growth Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stringer Growth for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stringer Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.03% of its assets in cash

Stringer Growth Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Stringer Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Stringer Growth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stringer Growth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Stringer Growth Technical Analysis

Stringer Growth's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stringer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stringer Growth Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stringer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stringer Growth Predictive Forecast Models

Stringer Growth's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stringer Growth's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stringer Growth's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stringer Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stringer Growth for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stringer Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 9.03% of its assets in cash

Other Information on Investing in Stringer Mutual Fund

Stringer Growth financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stringer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stringer with respect to the benefits of owning Stringer Growth security.
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