Sriracha Construction (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.92

SRICHA Stock  THB 5.00  0.08  1.63%   
Sriracha Construction's future price is the expected price of Sriracha Construction instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sriracha Construction Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sriracha Construction Backtesting, Sriracha Construction Valuation, Sriracha Construction Correlation, Sriracha Construction Hype Analysis, Sriracha Construction Volatility, Sriracha Construction History as well as Sriracha Construction Performance.
  
Please specify Sriracha Construction's target price for which you would like Sriracha Construction odds to be computed.

Sriracha Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 11.92

The tendency of Sriracha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  11.92  or more in 90 days
 5.00 90 days 11.92 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sriracha Construction to move over  11.92  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sriracha Construction Public probability density function shows the probability of Sriracha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sriracha Construction price to stay between its current price of  5.00  and  11.92  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 96.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sriracha Construction Public has a beta of -0.4. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sriracha Construction are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sriracha Construction Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sriracha Construction Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sriracha Construction Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sriracha Construction

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sriracha Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.675.007.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.324.656.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.364.697.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.904.975.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sriracha Construction. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sriracha Construction's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sriracha Construction's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sriracha Construction.

Sriracha Construction Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sriracha Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sriracha Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sriracha Construction Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sriracha Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.4
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Sriracha Construction Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sriracha Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sriracha Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sriracha Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Sriracha Construction Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sriracha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sriracha Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sriracha Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309.9 M

Sriracha Construction Technical Analysis

Sriracha Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sriracha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sriracha Construction Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sriracha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sriracha Construction Predictive Forecast Models

Sriracha Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sriracha Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sriracha Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sriracha Construction

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sriracha Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sriracha Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sriracha Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Sriracha Stock

Sriracha Construction financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sriracha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sriracha with respect to the benefits of owning Sriracha Construction security.