SRV Group (Finland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87
| SRV1V Stock | EUR 4.95 0.02 0.40% |
SRV |
SRV Group Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87
The tendency of SRV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 4.87 in 90 days |
| 4.95 | 90 days | 4.87 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SRV Group to stay above € 4.87 in 90 days from now is under 95 (This SRV Group plc probability density function shows the probability of SRV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SRV Group plc price to stay between € 4.87 and its current price of €4.95 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.29 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon SRV Group has a beta of 0.0503. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, SRV Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding SRV Group plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally SRV Group plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. SRV Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SRV Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SRV Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SRV Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SRV Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SRV Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SRV Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SRV Group plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SRV Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
SRV Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SRV Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SRV Group plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SRV Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 932.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 81.7 M. | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
SRV Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SRV Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SRV Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SRV Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 262.2 M |
SRV Group Technical Analysis
SRV Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SRV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SRV Group plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing SRV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SRV Group Predictive Forecast Models
SRV Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many SRV Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SRV Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SRV Group plc
Checking the ongoing alerts about SRV Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SRV Group plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SRV Group plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 932.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 81.7 M. | |
| About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in SRV Stock
SRV Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether SRV Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SRV with respect to the benefits of owning SRV Group security.