Sawit Sumbermas (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1020.0
| SSMS Stock | IDR 1,030 5.00 0.49% |
Sawit |
Sawit Sumbermas Target Price Odds to finish below 1020.0
The tendency of Sawit Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1,020 or more in 90 days |
| 1,030 | 90 days | 1,020 | roughly 2.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sawit Sumbermas to drop to 1,020 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.27 (This Sawit Sumbermas Sarana probability density function shows the probability of Sawit Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sawit Sumbermas Sarana price to stay between 1,020 and its current price of 1030.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.66 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sawit Sumbermas Sarana has a beta of -0.22. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sawit Sumbermas are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sawit Sumbermas Sarana is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sawit Sumbermas Sarana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sawit Sumbermas Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sawit Sumbermas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sawit Sumbermas Sarana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sawit Sumbermas Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sawit Sumbermas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sawit Sumbermas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sawit Sumbermas Sarana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sawit Sumbermas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 41.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Sawit Sumbermas Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sawit Sumbermas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sawit Sumbermas Sarana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sawit Sumbermas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sawit Sumbermas Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sawit Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sawit Sumbermas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sawit Sumbermas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.8 T |
Sawit Sumbermas Technical Analysis
Sawit Sumbermas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sawit Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sawit Sumbermas Sarana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sawit Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sawit Sumbermas Predictive Forecast Models
Sawit Sumbermas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sawit Sumbermas' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sawit Sumbermas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sawit Sumbermas Sarana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sawit Sumbermas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sawit Sumbermas Sarana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sawit Sumbermas generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 68.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Sawit Stock
Sawit Sumbermas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sawit Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sawit with respect to the benefits of owning Sawit Sumbermas security.