Sensata Technologies Holding Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.82
| ST Stock | USD 30.87 0.15 0.49% |
Sensata |
Sensata Technologies Target Price Odds to finish below 30.82
The tendency of Sensata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 30.82 or more in 90 days |
| 30.87 | 90 days | 30.82 | about 1.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sensata Technologies to drop to $ 30.82 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.07 (This Sensata Technologies Holding probability density function shows the probability of Sensata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sensata Technologies price to stay between $ 30.82 and its current price of $30.87 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Sensata Technologies will likely underperform. Additionally Sensata Technologies Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sensata Technologies Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Sensata Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sensata Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sensata Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sensata Technologies Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sensata Technologies is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sensata Technologies' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sensata Technologies Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sensata Technologies within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Sensata Technologies Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sensata Technologies for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sensata Technologies can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sensata Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sensata Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.05 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (3.91 M) with gross profit of 1.33 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Sensata Technologies Reaches New 1-Year Low Heres Why |
Sensata Technologies Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sensata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sensata Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sensata Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 508.1 M |
Sensata Technologies Technical Analysis
Sensata Technologies' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sensata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sensata Technologies Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sensata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sensata Technologies Predictive Forecast Models
Sensata Technologies' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sensata Technologies' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sensata Technologies' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sensata Technologies
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sensata Technologies for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sensata Technologies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sensata Technologies generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sensata Technologies has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company generated the yearly revenue of 4.05 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (3.91 M) with gross profit of 1.33 B. | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Sensata Technologies Reaches New 1-Year Low Heres Why |
Additional Tools for Sensata Stock Analysis
When running Sensata Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Sensata Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sensata Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Sensata Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sensata Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sensata Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sensata Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.