Sextant Short Term Bond Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 4.61
| STBFX Fund | USD 4.94 0.01 0.20% |
Sextant |
Sextant Short Target Price Odds to finish below 4.61
The tendency of Sextant Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.61 or more in 90 days |
| 4.94 | 90 days | 4.61 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sextant Short to drop to $ 4.61 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sextant Short Term Bond probability density function shows the probability of Sextant Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sextant Short Term price to stay between $ 4.61 and its current price of $4.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.19 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sextant Short has a beta of 0.0198. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sextant Short average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sextant Short Term Bond will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sextant Short Term Bond has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sextant Short Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sextant Short
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sextant Short Term. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sextant Short Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sextant Short is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sextant Short's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sextant Short Term Bond, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sextant Short within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -1 |
Sextant Short Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sextant Short for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sextant Short Term can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sextant Short Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 6.06% of its assets in cash |
Sextant Short Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sextant Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sextant Short's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sextant Short's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Sextant Short Technical Analysis
Sextant Short's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sextant Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sextant Short Term Bond. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sextant Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sextant Short Predictive Forecast Models
Sextant Short's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sextant Short's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sextant Short's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sextant Short Term
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sextant Short for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sextant Short Term help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sextant Short Term generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 6.06% of its assets in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Sextant Mutual Fund
Sextant Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sextant Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sextant with respect to the benefits of owning Sextant Short security.
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