Sturgis Bancorp Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 21.34

STBIDelisted Stock  USD 20.00  0.00  0.00%   
Sturgis Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Sturgis Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sturgis Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
  
Please specify Sturgis Bancorp's target price for which you would like Sturgis Bancorp odds to be computed.

Sturgis Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 21.34

The tendency of Sturgis OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 21.34  after 90 days
 20.00 90 days 21.34 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sturgis Bancorp to stay under $ 21.34  after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Sturgis Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Sturgis OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sturgis Bancorp price to stay between its current price of $ 20.00  and $ 21.34  at the end of the 90-day period is about 51.68 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Sturgis Bancorp has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sturgis Bancorp average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sturgis Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sturgis Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sturgis Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sturgis Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sturgis Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0917.0922.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.3220.3220.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sturgis Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sturgis Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sturgis Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sturgis Bancorp.

Sturgis Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sturgis Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sturgis Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sturgis Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sturgis Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Sturgis Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sturgis Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sturgis Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sturgis Bancorp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Sturgis Bancorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years

Sturgis Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sturgis OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sturgis Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sturgis Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.1 M

Sturgis Bancorp Technical Analysis

Sturgis Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sturgis OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sturgis Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sturgis OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sturgis Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Sturgis Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sturgis Bancorp's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sturgis Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sturgis Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sturgis Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sturgis Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sturgis Bancorp is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Sturgis Bancorp has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Sturgis Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sturgis Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

Other Consideration for investing in Sturgis OTC Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Sturgis Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Sturgis Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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