Starco Brands Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0559

STCB Stock  USD 0.06  0.01  9.09%   
Starco Brands' future price is the expected price of Starco Brands instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Starco Brands performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Starco Brands Backtesting, Starco Brands Valuation, Starco Brands Correlation, Starco Brands Hype Analysis, Starco Brands Volatility, Starco Brands History as well as Starco Brands Performance.
  
Please specify Starco Brands' target price for which you would like Starco Brands odds to be computed.

Starco Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0559

The tendency of Starco OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.06  in 90 days
 0.06 90 days 0.06 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Starco Brands to stay above $ 0.06  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Starco Brands probability density function shows the probability of Starco OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Starco Brands price to stay between $ 0.06  and its current price of $0.06 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Starco Brands has a beta of 0.13. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Starco Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Starco Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Starco Brands has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Starco Brands Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Starco Brands

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starco Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Starco Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.068.46
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.068.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.058.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.040.070.09
Details

Starco Brands Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Starco Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Starco Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Starco Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Starco Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Starco Brands Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Starco Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Starco Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starco Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Starco Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Starco Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 673.33 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 387.49 K.
Starco Brands currently holds about 240.17 K in cash with (1.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Starco Brands Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Starco OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Starco Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Starco Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding159.1 M

Starco Brands Technical Analysis

Starco Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Starco OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Starco Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing Starco OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Starco Brands Predictive Forecast Models

Starco Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Starco Brands' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Starco Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Starco Brands

Checking the ongoing alerts about Starco Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Starco Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Starco Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Starco Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Starco Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 673.33 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.25 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 387.49 K.
Starco Brands currently holds about 240.17 K in cash with (1.84 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Starco OTC Stock

Starco Brands financial ratios help investors to determine whether Starco OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Starco with respect to the benefits of owning Starco Brands security.