State Trading (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 165.33
| STCINDIA | 150.30 1.85 1.25% |
State |
State Trading Target Price Odds to finish over 165.33
The tendency of State Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 165.33 or more in 90 days |
| 150.30 | 90 days | 165.33 | about 58.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of State Trading to move over 165.33 or more in 90 days from now is about 58.01 (This The State Trading probability density function shows the probability of State Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of State Trading price to stay between its current price of 150.30 and 165.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.89 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon State Trading has a beta of 0.4. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, State Trading average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The State Trading will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The State Trading has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. State Trading Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for State Trading
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as State Trading. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.State Trading Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. State Trading is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the State Trading's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The State Trading, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of State Trading within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.45 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 18.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
State Trading Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of State Trading for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for State Trading can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| State Trading generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| State Trading has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The State Trading has accumulated about 157.68 M in cash with (221.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: State Trading Corp Of India Q2 results loss at 7.48Cr, Revenue decreased by 0 percent YoY Company Business News - Mint |
State Trading Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of State Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential State Trading's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. State Trading's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.9 B |
State Trading Technical Analysis
State Trading's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. State Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The State Trading. In general, you should focus on analyzing State Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
State Trading Predictive Forecast Models
State Trading's time-series forecasting models is one of many State Trading's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary State Trading's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about State Trading
Checking the ongoing alerts about State Trading for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for State Trading help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| State Trading generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| State Trading has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The State Trading has accumulated about 157.68 M in cash with (221.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: State Trading Corp Of India Q2 results loss at 7.48Cr, Revenue decreased by 0 percent YoY Company Business News - Mint |
Other Information on Investing in State Stock
State Trading financial ratios help investors to determine whether State Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in State with respect to the benefits of owning State Trading security.