State Trading (India) Price Prediction

STCINDIA   150.30  1.85  1.25%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of State Trading's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling State Trading, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of State Trading's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The State Trading, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting State Trading's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.585
Quarterly Revenue Growth
8.87
Using State Trading hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The State Trading from the perspective of State Trading response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in State Trading to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying State because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

State Trading after-hype prediction price

    
  INR 150.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out State Trading Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
131.10134.68165.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
138.07141.66145.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
139.38151.45163.53
Details

State Trading After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of State Trading at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in State Trading or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of State Trading, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

State Trading Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting State Trading's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on State Trading's historical news coverage. State Trading's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 147.36 and 154.52, respectively. We have considered State Trading's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
150.30
147.36
Downside
150.94
After-hype Price
154.52
Upside
State Trading is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of State Trading is based on 3 months time horizon.

State Trading Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as State Trading is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading State Trading backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with State Trading, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
3.61
  0.65 
  0.96 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
150.30
150.94
0.43 
232.90  
Notes

State Trading Hype Timeline

State Trading is at this time traded for 150.30on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.96. State is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 150.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on State Trading is about 158.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.34. Net Income was 510.72 M with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (9.9 M). Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out State Trading Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

State Trading Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to State Trading's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict State Trading's future price movements. Getting to know how State Trading's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how State Trading may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KINGFAKingfa Science Technology(3.75)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.60 (3.65) 9.31 
RICOAUTORico Auto Industries 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.28) 3.21 (4.52) 11.81 
GATECHDVRGACM Technologies Limited(0.09)5 per month 0.00 (0.36) 4.08 (5.56) 12.29 
COSMOFIRSTCOSMO FIRST LIMITED(12.20)1 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.02 (3.92) 13.96 
DELTAMAGNTDelta Manufacturing Limited 1.07 1 per month 2.10  0  5.34 (3.72) 19.73 
TBZTribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri(3.80)3 per month 3.42  0.06  10.00 (5.61) 27.64 
PARAGMILKParag Milk Foods 13.63 4 per month 2.52 (0.01) 5.30 (4.75) 12.83 
HEUBACHINDHeubach Colorants India 1.10 2 per month 3.21 (0.01) 6.95 (3.00) 28.86 
CHEMCONChemcon Speciality Chemicals(2.00)2 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.76 (3.49) 10.08 
ARVINDArvind Limited(16.80)2 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.34 (3.29) 23.01 

State Trading Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine State price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State using various technical indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About State Trading Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of State Trading stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The State Trading, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of State Trading based on analysis of State Trading hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to State Trading's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to State Trading's related companies.

Story Coverage note for State Trading

The number of cover stories for State Trading depends on current market conditions and State Trading's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that State Trading is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about State Trading's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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State Trading Short Properties

State Trading's future price predictability will typically decrease when State Trading's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The State Trading often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential State Trading's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. State Trading's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Complementary Tools for State Stock analysis

When running State Trading's price analysis, check to measure State Trading's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy State Trading is operating at the current time. Most of State Trading's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of State Trading's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move State Trading's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of State Trading to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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