Star Fashion Culture Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.89
| STFS Stock | 4.89 0.17 3.60% |
Star |
Star Fashion Target Price Odds to finish below 4.89
The tendency of Star Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4.89 | 90 days | 4.89 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Star Fashion to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Star Fashion Culture probability density function shows the probability of Star Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Star Fashion has a beta of 0.73. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Star Fashion average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Star Fashion Culture will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Star Fashion Culture has an alpha of 0.6711, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Star Fashion Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Star Fashion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Star Fashion Culture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Star Fashion Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Star Fashion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Star Fashion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Star Fashion Culture, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Star Fashion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.67 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Star Fashion Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Star Fashion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Star Fashion Culture can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Star Fashion Culture is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Star Fashion Culture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Star Fashion Culture has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Star Fashion Culture has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Star Fashion Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Star Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Star Fashion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Star Fashion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.6 M |
Star Fashion Technical Analysis
Star Fashion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Star Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Star Fashion Culture. In general, you should focus on analyzing Star Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Star Fashion Predictive Forecast Models
Star Fashion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Star Fashion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Star Fashion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Star Fashion Culture
Checking the ongoing alerts about Star Fashion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Star Fashion Culture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Star Fashion Culture is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Star Fashion Culture appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Star Fashion Culture has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Star Fashion Culture has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures |
Additional Tools for Star Stock Analysis
When running Star Fashion's price analysis, check to measure Star Fashion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Star Fashion is operating at the current time. Most of Star Fashion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Star Fashion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Star Fashion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Star Fashion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.