Statehouse Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.015

STHZF Stock  USD 0.01  0.00  0.00%   
StateHouse Holdings' future price is the expected price of StateHouse Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of StateHouse Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out StateHouse Holdings Backtesting, StateHouse Holdings Valuation, StateHouse Holdings Correlation, StateHouse Holdings Hype Analysis, StateHouse Holdings Volatility, StateHouse Holdings History as well as StateHouse Holdings Performance.
  
Please specify StateHouse Holdings' target price for which you would like StateHouse Holdings odds to be computed.

StateHouse Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.015

The tendency of StateHouse Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.01 90 days 0.01 
about 72.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of StateHouse Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.6 (This StateHouse Holdings probability density function shows the probability of StateHouse Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon StateHouse Holdings has a beta of -0.21. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding StateHouse Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, StateHouse Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally StateHouse Holdings has an alpha of 0.3636, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   StateHouse Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for StateHouse Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as StateHouse Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0211.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0111.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00030.0111.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.010.010.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as StateHouse Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against StateHouse Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, StateHouse Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in StateHouse Holdings.

StateHouse Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. StateHouse Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the StateHouse Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold StateHouse Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of StateHouse Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

StateHouse Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of StateHouse Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for StateHouse Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
StateHouse Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
StateHouse Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
StateHouse Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
StateHouse Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
StateHouse Holdings has accumulated 11.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. StateHouse Holdings has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist StateHouse Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, StateHouse Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like StateHouse Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for StateHouse to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about StateHouse Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 60.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.34 M.
StateHouse Holdings has accumulated about 10.92 M in cash with (15.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

StateHouse Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of StateHouse Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential StateHouse Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. StateHouse Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding40 M

StateHouse Holdings Technical Analysis

StateHouse Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. StateHouse Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of StateHouse Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing StateHouse Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

StateHouse Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

StateHouse Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many StateHouse Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary StateHouse Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about StateHouse Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about StateHouse Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for StateHouse Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
StateHouse Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
StateHouse Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
StateHouse Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
StateHouse Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
StateHouse Holdings has accumulated 11.85 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. StateHouse Holdings has a current ratio of 0.29, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist StateHouse Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, StateHouse Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like StateHouse Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for StateHouse to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about StateHouse Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 60.3 M. Net Loss for the year was (26.16 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 22.34 M.
StateHouse Holdings has accumulated about 10.92 M in cash with (15.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in StateHouse Pink Sheet

StateHouse Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether StateHouse Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in StateHouse with respect to the benefits of owning StateHouse Holdings security.