Straumann Holding (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 85.61

STMN Stock  CHF 111.80  0.50  0.45%   
Straumann Holding's future price is the expected price of Straumann Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Straumann Holding AG performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Straumann Holding Backtesting, Straumann Holding Valuation, Straumann Holding Correlation, Straumann Holding Hype Analysis, Straumann Holding Volatility, Straumann Holding History as well as Straumann Holding Performance.
  
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Straumann Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 85.61

The tendency of Straumann Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 85.61  or more in 90 days
 111.80 90 days 85.61 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Straumann Holding to drop to ₣ 85.61  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Straumann Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Straumann Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Straumann Holding price to stay between ₣ 85.61  and its current price of ₣111.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Straumann Holding has a beta of 0.36. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Straumann Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Straumann Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Straumann Holding AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Straumann Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Straumann Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Straumann Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.81111.80113.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2187.20122.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
109.24111.22113.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
108.43110.94113.45
Details

Straumann Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Straumann Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Straumann Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Straumann Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Straumann Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.36
σ
Overall volatility
8.40
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Straumann Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Straumann Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Straumann Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Straumann Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Straumann Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Straumann Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Straumann Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Straumann Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding159.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments881.5 M

Straumann Holding Technical Analysis

Straumann Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Straumann Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Straumann Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Straumann Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Straumann Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Straumann Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Straumann Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Straumann Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Straumann Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Straumann Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Straumann Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Straumann Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 33.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Straumann Stock Analysis

When running Straumann Holding's price analysis, check to measure Straumann Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Straumann Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Straumann Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Straumann Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Straumann Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Straumann Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.