Stralem Equity Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.30

STRAX Fund  USD 32.30  0.09  0.28%   
Stralem Equity's future price is the expected price of Stralem Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Stralem Equity Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Stralem Equity Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Stralem Equity Correlation, Stralem Equity Hype Analysis, Stralem Equity Volatility, Stralem Equity History as well as Stralem Equity Performance.
  
Please specify Stralem Equity's target price for which you would like Stralem Equity odds to be computed.

Stralem Equity Target Price Odds to finish over 32.30

The tendency of Stralem Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 32.30 90 days 32.30 
roughly 2.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Stralem Equity to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.39 (This Stralem Equity Fund probability density function shows the probability of Stralem Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Stralem Equity has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies Stralem Equity Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Stralem Equity is expected to follow. Additionally Stralem Equity Fund has an alpha of 0.0245, implying that it can generate a 0.0245 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Stralem Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Stralem Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stralem Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
31.5532.3233.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.1432.3232.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Stralem Equity. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Stralem Equity's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Stralem Equity's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Stralem Equity.

Stralem Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Stralem Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Stralem Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Stralem Equity Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Stralem Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Stralem Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Stralem Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Stralem Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.54% of its assets in stocks

Stralem Equity Technical Analysis

Stralem Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Stralem Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Stralem Equity Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Stralem Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Stralem Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Stralem Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Stralem Equity's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Stralem Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Stralem Equity

Checking the ongoing alerts about Stralem Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Stralem Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.54% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Stralem Mutual Fund

Stralem Equity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Stralem Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Stralem with respect to the benefits of owning Stralem Equity security.
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