Sumitomo (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.68

SUMA Stock  EUR 20.68  0.51  2.53%   
Sumitomo's future price is the expected price of Sumitomo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sumitomo performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sumitomo Backtesting, Sumitomo Valuation, Sumitomo Correlation, Sumitomo Hype Analysis, Sumitomo Volatility, Sumitomo History as well as Sumitomo Performance.
  
Please specify Sumitomo's target price for which you would like Sumitomo odds to be computed.

Sumitomo Target Price Odds to finish over 18.68

The tendency of Sumitomo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 18.68  in 90 days
 20.68 90 days 18.68 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sumitomo to stay above € 18.68  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Sumitomo probability density function shows the probability of Sumitomo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sumitomo price to stay between € 18.68  and its current price of €20.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sumitomo has a beta of 0.31. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sumitomo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sumitomo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sumitomo has an alpha of 0.0606, implying that it can generate a 0.0606 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sumitomo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sumitomo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sumitomo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.4620.6822.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9517.1722.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.6020.8223.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.3420.2821.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sumitomo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sumitomo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sumitomo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sumitomo.

Sumitomo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sumitomo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sumitomo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sumitomo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sumitomo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.0085

Sumitomo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sumitomo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sumitomo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sumitomo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Sumitomo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sumitomo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sumitomo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sumitomo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B

Sumitomo Technical Analysis

Sumitomo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sumitomo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sumitomo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sumitomo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sumitomo Predictive Forecast Models

Sumitomo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sumitomo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sumitomo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sumitomo

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sumitomo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sumitomo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sumitomo has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations

Other Information on Investing in Sumitomo Stock

Sumitomo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sumitomo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sumitomo with respect to the benefits of owning Sumitomo security.