Sulzer AG (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 117.18
| SUN Stock | CHF 130.20 2.40 1.88% |
Sulzer |
Sulzer AG Target Price Odds to finish below 117.18
The tendency of Sulzer Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to ₣ 117.18 or more in 90 days |
| 130.20 | 90 days | 117.18 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sulzer AG to drop to ₣ 117.18 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sulzer AG probability density function shows the probability of Sulzer Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sulzer AG price to stay between ₣ 117.18 and its current price of ₣130.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sulzer AG has a beta of 0.68. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sulzer AG average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sulzer AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sulzer AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sulzer AG Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sulzer AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sulzer AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sulzer AG Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sulzer AG is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sulzer AG's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sulzer AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sulzer AG within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Sulzer AG Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sulzer AG for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sulzer AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sulzer AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Sulzer AG Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sulzer Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sulzer AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sulzer AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Sulzer AG Technical Analysis
Sulzer AG's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sulzer Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sulzer AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sulzer Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sulzer AG Predictive Forecast Models
Sulzer AG's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sulzer AG's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sulzer AG's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sulzer AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sulzer AG for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sulzer AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sulzer AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Sulzer Stock Analysis
When running Sulzer AG's price analysis, check to measure Sulzer AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sulzer AG is operating at the current time. Most of Sulzer AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sulzer AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sulzer AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sulzer AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.