Sunoco Lp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 47.82
| SUN Stock | USD 54.33 0.31 0.57% |
Sunoco |
Sunoco LP Target Price Odds to finish below 47.82
The tendency of Sunoco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 47.82 or more in 90 days |
| 54.33 | 90 days | 47.82 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sunoco LP to drop to $ 47.82 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Sunoco LP probability density function shows the probability of Sunoco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sunoco LP price to stay between $ 47.82 and its current price of $54.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Sunoco LP has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Sunoco LP average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sunoco LP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sunoco LP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sunoco LP Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sunoco LP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunoco LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunoco LP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sunoco LP Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sunoco LP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sunoco LP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sunoco LP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sunoco LP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Sunoco LP Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sunoco LP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sunoco LP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 19th of November 2024 Sunoco LP paid $ 0.8756 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sunoco LP Trading 3.3 percent Higher on Nov 19 |
Sunoco LP Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sunoco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sunoco LP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunoco LP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 29 M |
Sunoco LP Technical Analysis
Sunoco LP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sunoco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sunoco LP. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sunoco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sunoco LP Predictive Forecast Models
Sunoco LP's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sunoco LP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sunoco LP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sunoco LP
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sunoco LP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sunoco LP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| On 19th of November 2024 Sunoco LP paid $ 0.8756 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Sunoco LP Trading 3.3 percent Higher on Nov 19 |
Check out Sunoco LP Backtesting, Sunoco LP Valuation, Sunoco LP Correlation, Sunoco LP Hype Analysis, Sunoco LP Volatility, Sunoco LP History as well as Sunoco LP Performance. To learn how to invest in Sunoco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sunoco LP guide.You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunoco LP. If investors know Sunoco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunoco LP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.936 | Dividend Share 3.469 | Earnings Share 3.91 | Revenue Per Share 218.578 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Sunoco LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunoco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunoco LP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunoco LP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunoco LP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunoco LP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunoco LP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunoco LP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunoco LP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.