Sunoco LP Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| SUN Stock | USD 57.00 0.01 0.02% |
Sunoco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Sunoco LP's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sunoco LP's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sunoco LP fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Sunoco LP's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sunoco, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4529 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.7473 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7683 | Wall Street Target Price 64.2222 |
Using Sunoco LP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunoco LP from the perspective of Sunoco LP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sunoco LP using Sunoco LP's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sunoco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sunoco LP's stock price.
Sunoco LP Short Interest
An investor who is long Sunoco LP may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sunoco LP and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sunoco LP with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 53.4736 | Short Percent 0.0515 | Short Ratio 12.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 54.2968 |
Sunoco Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sunoco LP on the next trading day is expected to be 57.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.50.Sunoco LP Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sunoco LP's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sunoco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sunoco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sunoco LP. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Sunoco LP's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Sunoco LP.
Sunoco LP Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Sunoco LP's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sunoco LP stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sunoco LP's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sunoco LP stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sunoco LP's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sunoco LP on the next trading day is expected to be 57.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.50. Sunoco LP after-hype prediction price | USD 57.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Sunoco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Sunoco LP will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Sunoco LP trading at USD 57.0, that is roughly USD 0.016 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Sunoco LP's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Sunoco LP options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sunoco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sunoco LP's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sunoco LP's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sunoco LP stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sunoco LP's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sunoco LP's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sunoco LP is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sunoco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sunoco LP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunoco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunoco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunoco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sunoco LP Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sunoco LP on the next trading day is expected to be 57.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58, mean absolute percentage error of 0.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunoco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunoco LP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sunoco LP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sunoco LP | Sunoco LP Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sunoco LP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sunoco LP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sunoco LP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 55.75 and 58.25, respectively. We have considered Sunoco LP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunoco LP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunoco LP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9308 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1146 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5847 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0109 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 34.5 |
Predictive Modules for Sunoco LP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunoco LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunoco LP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sunoco LP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunoco LP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunoco LP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunoco LP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunoco LP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunoco LP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunoco LP's historical news coverage. Sunoco LP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 55.77 and 58.27, respectively. We have considered Sunoco LP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunoco LP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunoco LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunoco LP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunoco LP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunoco LP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunoco LP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.25 | 0.02 | 0.13 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
57.00 | 57.02 | 0.04 |
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Sunoco LP Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Sunoco LP is traded for 57.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Sunoco is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 57.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Sunoco LP is about 130.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.87. The company reported the last year's revenue of 22.69 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 874 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.49 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections.Sunoco LP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunoco LP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunoco LP's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunoco LP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunoco LP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | (0.58) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.72 | (1.64) | 5.52 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | 0.13 | 11 per month | 0.99 | 0.05 | 1.75 | (1.77) | 5.00 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.07) | 7 per month | 1.09 | (0.02) | 1.86 | (1.89) | 5.89 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.41) | 7 per month | 2.14 | 0.07 | 5.91 | (3.50) | 14.33 | |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes SA | (0.05) | 10 per month | 2.40 | 0.11 | 3.92 | (2.79) | 13.99 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.58 | 10 per month | 2.48 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (3.95) | 13.55 | |
| LEU | Centrus Energy Corp | (10.99) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.24 | (8.82) | 25.98 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | 1.52 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.90 | (2.86) | 7.95 | |
| SOBO | South Bow | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.03 | 2.08 | (2.41) | 8.35 | |
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | 0.32 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.46 | (3.01) | 9.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sunoco LP
For every potential investor in Sunoco, whether a beginner or expert, Sunoco LP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sunoco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sunoco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sunoco LP's price trends.Sunoco LP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunoco LP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunoco LP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunoco LP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sunoco LP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunoco LP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunoco LP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunoco LP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunoco LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sunoco LP Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sunoco LP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunoco LP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunoco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9884 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Variance | 1.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sunoco LP
The number of cover stories for Sunoco LP depends on current market conditions and Sunoco LP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunoco LP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunoco LP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sunoco LP Short Properties
Sunoco LP's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunoco LP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunoco LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunoco LP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunoco LP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Sunoco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sunoco LP guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunoco LP. If investors know Sunoco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sunoco LP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.91) | Dividend Share 3.613 | Earnings Share 2.78 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 |
The market value of Sunoco LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sunoco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sunoco LP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sunoco LP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sunoco LP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sunoco LP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunoco LP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunoco LP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunoco LP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.