Sunoco LP Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| SUN Stock | USD 59.51 0.61 1.04% |
Sunoco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Sunoco LP's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Sunoco LP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sunoco LP from the perspective of Sunoco LP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sunoco LP on the next trading day is expected to be 59.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.17. Sunoco LP after-hype prediction price | USD 59.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections. Sunoco LP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sunoco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sunoco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sunoco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sunoco LP Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sunoco LP on the next trading day is expected to be 59.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.54, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sunoco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sunoco LP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sunoco LP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sunoco LP | Sunoco LP Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Sunoco LP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sunoco LP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sunoco LP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 58.36 and 60.66, respectively. We have considered Sunoco LP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sunoco LP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sunoco LP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1504 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5621 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0102 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.165 |
Predictive Modules for Sunoco LP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sunoco LP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sunoco LP's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Sunoco LP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sunoco LP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sunoco LP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sunoco LP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sunoco LP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sunoco LP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sunoco LP's historical news coverage. Sunoco LP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.24 and 60.54, respectively. We have considered Sunoco LP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sunoco LP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sunoco LP is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sunoco LP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sunoco LP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sunoco LP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sunoco LP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.51 | 59.39 | 0.20 |
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Sunoco LP Hype Timeline
On the 15th of February 2026 Sunoco LP is traded for 59.51. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Sunoco is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 59.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Sunoco LP is about 782.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.48. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sunoco LP was at this time reported as 29.75. The company last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2026. Sunoco LP had 2:1 split on the June 13, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections.Sunoco LP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sunoco LP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sunoco LP's future price movements. Getting to know how Sunoco LP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sunoco LP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.86 | 0.09 | 1.72 | (1.42) | 5.52 | |
| HESM | Hess Midstream Partners | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.99 | 0.08 | 2.29 | (1.78) | 5.02 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.95 | 0.19 | 2.50 | (1.86) | 5.56 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.77) | 11 per month | 2.29 | 0.07 | 3.77 | (3.52) | 13.20 | |
| UGP | Ultrapar Participacoes SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.17 | 3.25 | (2.27) | 13.99 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.26 | 10 per month | 2.05 | 0.14 | 3.94 | (3.88) | 13.55 | |
| LEU | Centrus Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.83 | (10.74) | 34.66 | |
| DINO | HF Sinclair Corp | (0.22) | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.02 | 4.03 | (2.57) | 7.95 | |
| SOBO | South Bow | (0.69) | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.12 | 2.32 | (2.41) | 8.35 | |
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.31 | (0.03) | 2.82 | (3.01) | 11.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sunoco LP
For every potential investor in Sunoco, whether a beginner or expert, Sunoco LP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sunoco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sunoco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sunoco LP's price trends.Sunoco LP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sunoco LP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sunoco LP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sunoco LP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sunoco LP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sunoco LP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sunoco LP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sunoco LP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sunoco LP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sunoco LP Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sunoco LP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sunoco LP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sunoco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9073 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8984 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8072 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.03) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sunoco LP
The number of cover stories for Sunoco LP depends on current market conditions and Sunoco LP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sunoco LP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sunoco LP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sunoco LP Short Properties
Sunoco LP's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sunoco LP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sunoco LP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sunoco LP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sunoco LP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 94 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sunoco LP to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Sunoco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sunoco LP guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation sector continue expanding? Could Sunoco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sunoco LP. If investors know Sunoco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sunoco LP data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Sunoco LP's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Sunoco's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Sunoco LP's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Sunoco LP's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sunoco LP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sunoco LP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sunoco LP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.