Tanger Factory (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 33.47

T6O Stock  EUR 34.57  0.59  1.74%   
Tanger Factory's future price is the expected price of Tanger Factory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Tanger Factory Outlet performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Tanger Factory Backtesting, Tanger Factory Valuation, Tanger Factory Correlation, Tanger Factory Hype Analysis, Tanger Factory Volatility, Tanger Factory History as well as Tanger Factory Performance.
  
Please specify Tanger Factory's target price for which you would like Tanger Factory odds to be computed.

Tanger Factory Target Price Odds to finish below 33.47

The tendency of Tanger Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 33.47  or more in 90 days
 34.57 90 days 33.47 
over 95.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tanger Factory to drop to € 33.47  or more in 90 days from now is over 95.12 (This Tanger Factory Outlet probability density function shows the probability of Tanger Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tanger Factory Outlet price to stay between € 33.47  and its current price of €34.57 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tanger Factory has a beta of 0.61. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tanger Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tanger Factory Outlet will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tanger Factory Outlet has an alpha of 0.418, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Tanger Factory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Tanger Factory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanger Factory Outlet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3034.5735.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1138.4339.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.2235.4936.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.8234.3734.93
Details

Tanger Factory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tanger Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tanger Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tanger Factory Outlet, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tanger Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.61
σ
Overall volatility
2.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Tanger Factory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tanger Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tanger Factory Outlet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Tanger Factory Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tanger Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tanger Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tanger Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding104.5 M

Tanger Factory Technical Analysis

Tanger Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tanger Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tanger Factory Outlet. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tanger Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Tanger Factory Predictive Forecast Models

Tanger Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tanger Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tanger Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Tanger Factory Outlet

Checking the ongoing alerts about Tanger Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tanger Factory Outlet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Tanger Stock

When determining whether Tanger Factory Outlet is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Tanger Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Tanger Factory Outlet Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Tanger Factory Outlet Stock:
Check out Tanger Factory Backtesting, Tanger Factory Valuation, Tanger Factory Correlation, Tanger Factory Hype Analysis, Tanger Factory Volatility, Tanger Factory History as well as Tanger Factory Performance.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tanger Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tanger Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tanger Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.