Tanger Factory Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

T6O Stock  EUR 34.57  0.59  1.74%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tanger Factory Outlet on the next trading day is expected to be 34.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.64. Tanger Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tanger Factory's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Tanger Factory polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Tanger Factory Outlet as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Tanger Factory Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Tanger Factory Outlet on the next trading day is expected to be 34.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tanger Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tanger Factory's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tanger Factory Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tanger Factory Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tanger Factory's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tanger Factory's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.47 and 36.00, respectively. We have considered Tanger Factory's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.57
34.73
Expected Value
36.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tanger Factory stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tanger Factory stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8113
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3712
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0123
SAESum of the absolute errors22.6438
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Tanger Factory historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Tanger Factory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tanger Factory Outlet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3034.5735.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.1138.4339.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.8234.3734.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tanger Factory

For every potential investor in Tanger, whether a beginner or expert, Tanger Factory's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tanger Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tanger. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tanger Factory's price trends.

Tanger Factory Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tanger Factory stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tanger Factory could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tanger Factory by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tanger Factory Outlet Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tanger Factory's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tanger Factory's current price.

Tanger Factory Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tanger Factory stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tanger Factory shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tanger Factory stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tanger Factory Outlet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tanger Factory Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tanger Factory's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tanger Factory's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tanger stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Tanger Stock

When determining whether Tanger Factory Outlet is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Tanger Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Tanger Factory Outlet Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Tanger Factory Outlet Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tanger Factory to cross-verify your projections.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Tanger Factory's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tanger Factory is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tanger Factory's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.