Talos Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.27
| TALO Stock | USD 11.20 0.04 0.36% |
Talos |
Talos Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 19.27
The tendency of Talos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 19.27 or more in 90 days |
| 11.20 | 90 days | 19.27 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Talos Energy to move over $ 19.27 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Talos Energy probability density function shows the probability of Talos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Talos Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 11.20 and $ 19.27 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.33 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Talos Energy has a beta of 0.77. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Talos Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Talos Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Talos Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Talos Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Talos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Talos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Talos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Talos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Talos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Talos Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Talos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Talos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Talos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Talos Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Talos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Talos Energy currently holds 1.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Talos Energy has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Talos Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Talos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of Talos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Year in Review Talos Energys 1.29B acquisition of Houston upstream co. was a Deal of the Week |
Talos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Talos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Talos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Talos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
Talos Energy Technical Analysis
Talos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Talos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Talos Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Talos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Talos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Talos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Talos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Talos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Talos Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Talos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Talos Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Talos Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Talos Energy currently holds 1.2 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.93, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Talos Energy has a current ratio of 0.67, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Talos Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Talos Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of Talos Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Year in Review Talos Energys 1.29B acquisition of Houston upstream co. was a Deal of the Week |
Check out Talos Energy Backtesting, Talos Energy Valuation, Talos Energy Correlation, Talos Energy Hype Analysis, Talos Energy Volatility, Talos Energy History as well as Talos Energy Performance. To learn how to invest in Talos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Talos Energy guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talos Energy. If investors know Talos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Talos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share 0.63 | Revenue Per Share 11.579 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.331 | Return On Assets 0.0221 |
The market value of Talos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Talos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Talos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.