Talos Energy Stock Price Patterns
| TALO Stock | USD 11.92 0.17 1.41% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.42) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.94) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.75) | Wall Street Target Price 14.2273 |
Using Talos Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Talos Energy from the perspective of Talos Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Talos Energy using Talos Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Talos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Talos Energy's stock price.
Talos Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Talos Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Talos Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Talos Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 9.4055 | Short Percent 0.1095 | Short Ratio 6.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.6 M | 50 Day MA 11.2178 |
Talos Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Talos Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Talos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Talos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Talos Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Talos Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Talos Energy.
Talos Energy Implied Volatility | 1.05 |
Talos Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Talos Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Talos Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Talos Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Talos Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Talos Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Talos because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Talos Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 11.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Talos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Talos Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0656% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Talos Energy trading at USD 11.92, that is roughly USD 0.007823 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Talos Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Talos Energy options at the current volatility level of 1.05%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Talos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Talos Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Talos Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Talos Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Talos Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Talos Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Talos Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Talos Energy's historical news coverage. Talos Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.39 and 14.43, respectively. We have considered Talos Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Talos Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Talos Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Talos Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Talos Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Talos Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Talos Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.52 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
11.92 | 11.91 | 0.08 |
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Talos Energy Hype Timeline
Talos Energy is at this time traded for 11.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Talos is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Talos Energy is about 15750.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.93. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Talos Energy recorded a loss per share of 2.02. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 22:125 split on the 1st of March 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Talos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Talos Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Talos Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Talos Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Talos Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Talos Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CLMT | Calumet Specialty Products | 0.85 | 11 per month | 1.44 | 0.07 | 2.75 | (2.44) | 6.76 | |
| NEXT | Nextdecade Corp | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.21 | (6.04) | 17.50 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | 0.12 | 12 per month | 2.09 | 0.19 | 5.49 | (3.03) | 19.69 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | (0.47) | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 3.56 | (2.69) | 8.17 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | (0.16) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 5.26 | (3.89) | 10.76 | |
| CRGY | Crescent Energy Co | 0.11 | 10 per month | 3.02 | 0.07 | 4.89 | (5.18) | 15.66 | |
| EFXT | Enerflex | 0.01 | 11 per month | 1.60 | 0.23 | 3.88 | (3.16) | 11.18 | |
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings | (0.36) | 19 per month | 2.59 | 0.08 | 5.94 | (4.94) | 14.92 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.59 | (4.49) | 10.18 | |
| KRP | Kimbell Royalty Partners | (0.13) | 8 per month | 1.59 | (0) | 2.40 | (2.41) | 6.54 |
Talos Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Talos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Talos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Talos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Talos Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Talos Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Talos Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Talos Energy based on analysis of Talos Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Talos Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Talos Energy's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 12.23 | 12.84 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 86.98 | 91.33 |
Pair Trading with Talos Energy
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Talos Energy position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Talos Energy will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Talos Stock
| 0.96 | PR | Permian Resources Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | SDE | Spartan Delta Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.9 | FANG | Diamondback Energy | PairCorr |
Moving against Talos Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Talos Energy could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Talos Energy when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Talos Energy - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Talos Energy to buy it.
The correlation of Talos Energy is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Talos Energy moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Talos Energy moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Talos Energy can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Talos Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Talos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Talos Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Talos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Talos Energy. If investors know Talos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Talos Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.38) | Earnings Share (2.02) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Talos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Talos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Talos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Talos Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Talos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Talos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Talos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Talos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Talos Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.