Growth Fund A Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 53.53

TCRAX Fund  USD 56.80  0.15  0.26%   
Growth Fund's future price is the expected price of Growth Fund instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Growth Fund A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Growth Fund Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Growth Fund Correlation, Growth Fund Hype Analysis, Growth Fund Volatility, Growth Fund History as well as Growth Fund Performance.
  
Please specify Growth Fund's target price for which you would like Growth Fund odds to be computed.

Growth Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 53.53

The tendency of Growth Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 53.53  or more in 90 days
 56.80 90 days 53.53 
about 17.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Growth Fund to drop to $ 53.53  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.98 (This Growth Fund A probability density function shows the probability of Growth Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Growth Fund A price to stay between $ 53.53  and its current price of $56.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.87 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Growth Fund has a beta of 0.89. This usually implies Growth Fund A market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Growth Fund is expected to follow. Additionally Growth Fund A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Growth Fund Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Growth Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Growth Fund A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
55.7656.8057.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.1156.1557.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
55.0056.0457.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
56.6156.7556.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Growth Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Growth Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Growth Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Growth Fund A.

Growth Fund Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Growth Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Growth Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Growth Fund A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Growth Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Growth Fund Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Growth Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Growth Fund A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.15% of its assets in stocks

Growth Fund Technical Analysis

Growth Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Growth Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Growth Fund A. In general, you should focus on analyzing Growth Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Growth Fund Predictive Forecast Models

Growth Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Growth Fund's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Growth Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Growth Fund A

Checking the ongoing alerts about Growth Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Growth Fund A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains 99.15% of its assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in Growth Mutual Fund

Growth Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Growth Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Growth with respect to the benefits of owning Growth Fund security.
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