TAG Immobilien (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.93
| TEG Stock | EUR 14.52 0.04 0.27% |
TAG |
TAG Immobilien Target Price Odds to finish over 14.93
The tendency of TAG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 14.93 or more in 90 days |
| 14.52 | 90 days | 14.93 | about 87.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TAG Immobilien to move over € 14.93 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.13 (This TAG Immobilien AG probability density function shows the probability of TAG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TAG Immobilien AG price to stay between its current price of € 14.52 and € 14.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.74 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon TAG Immobilien has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, TAG Immobilien average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TAG Immobilien AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TAG Immobilien AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TAG Immobilien Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TAG Immobilien
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TAG Immobilien AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TAG Immobilien Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TAG Immobilien is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TAG Immobilien's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TAG Immobilien AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TAG Immobilien within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
TAG Immobilien Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TAG Immobilien for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TAG Immobilien AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TAG Immobilien AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TAG Immobilien AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
TAG Immobilien Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TAG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TAG Immobilien's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TAG Immobilien's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.4 M |
TAG Immobilien Technical Analysis
TAG Immobilien's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TAG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TAG Immobilien AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing TAG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TAG Immobilien Predictive Forecast Models
TAG Immobilien's time-series forecasting models is one of many TAG Immobilien's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TAG Immobilien's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TAG Immobilien AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about TAG Immobilien for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TAG Immobilien AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TAG Immobilien AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| TAG Immobilien AG has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Other Information on Investing in TAG Stock
TAG Immobilien financial ratios help investors to determine whether TAG Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TAG with respect to the benefits of owning TAG Immobilien security.