Te Connectivity Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 149.72
| TEL Stock | USD 152.73 0.47 0.31% |
TEL |
TE Connectivity Target Price Odds to finish below 149.72
The tendency of TEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 149.72 or more in 90 days |
| 152.73 | 90 days | 149.72 | about 67.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TE Connectivity to drop to $ 149.72 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.58 (This TE Connectivity probability density function shows the probability of TEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of TE Connectivity price to stay between $ 149.72 and its current price of $152.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.12 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, TE Connectivity will likely underperform. Additionally TE Connectivity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. TE Connectivity Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for TE Connectivity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TE Connectivity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TE Connectivity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TE Connectivity Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TE Connectivity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TE Connectivity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TE Connectivity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TE Connectivity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
TE Connectivity Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TE Connectivity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TE Connectivity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| TE Connectivity has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heilind Asia Pacific Awarded 2024 Best Strategic Account Development by TE Connectivity |
TE Connectivity Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of TEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential TE Connectivity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TE Connectivity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 309 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
TE Connectivity Technical Analysis
TE Connectivity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TE Connectivity. In general, you should focus on analyzing TEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
TE Connectivity Predictive Forecast Models
TE Connectivity's time-series forecasting models is one of many TE Connectivity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TE Connectivity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about TE Connectivity
Checking the ongoing alerts about TE Connectivity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TE Connectivity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| TE Connectivity has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heilind Asia Pacific Awarded 2024 Best Strategic Account Development by TE Connectivity |
Check out TE Connectivity Backtesting, TE Connectivity Valuation, TE Connectivity Correlation, TE Connectivity Hype Analysis, TE Connectivity Volatility, TE Connectivity History as well as TE Connectivity Performance. For more information on how to buy TEL Stock please use our How to buy in TEL Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TE Connectivity. If investors know TEL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TE Connectivity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share 10.34 | Revenue Per Share 51.612 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.008 | Return On Assets 0.0823 |
The market value of TE Connectivity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TEL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TE Connectivity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TE Connectivity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TE Connectivity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TE Connectivity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TE Connectivity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TE Connectivity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TE Connectivity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.