TE Connectivity Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| TEL Stock | USD 226.46 10.55 4.89% |
TEL Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of TE Connectivity's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TE Connectivity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TE Connectivity from the perspective of TE Connectivity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TE Connectivity on the next trading day is expected to be 221.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 246.66. TE Connectivity after-hype prediction price | USD 222.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TE Connectivity to cross-verify your projections. TE Connectivity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TEL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TEL using various technical indicators. When you analyze TEL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TE Connectivity Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TE Connectivity on the next trading day is expected to be 221.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.18, mean absolute percentage error of 31.45, and the sum of the absolute errors of 246.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TEL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TE Connectivity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TE Connectivity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TE Connectivity | TE Connectivity Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TE Connectivity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TE Connectivity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TE Connectivity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 219.00 and 223.37, respectively. We have considered TE Connectivity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TE Connectivity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TE Connectivity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8831 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.5806 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.1808 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0184 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 246.665 |
Predictive Modules for TE Connectivity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TE Connectivity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TE Connectivity's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TE Connectivity After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TE Connectivity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TE Connectivity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TE Connectivity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TE Connectivity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TE Connectivity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TE Connectivity's historical news coverage. TE Connectivity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 220.21 and 224.49, respectively. We have considered TE Connectivity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TE Connectivity is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TE Connectivity is based on 3 months time horizon.
TE Connectivity Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TE Connectivity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TE Connectivity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TE Connectivity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.18 | 0.29 | 0.03 | 19 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
226.46 | 222.35 | 0.41 |
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TE Connectivity Hype Timeline
On the 9th of February TE Connectivity is traded for 226.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. TEL is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 222.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 81.95%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on TE Connectivity is about 737.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 226.43. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of TE Connectivity was at this time reported as 44.22. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. TE Connectivity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2026. The firm had 1:12 split on the 25th of June 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TE Connectivity to cross-verify your projections.TE Connectivity Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TE Connectivity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TE Connectivity's future price movements. Getting to know how TE Connectivity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TE Connectivity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LFUS | Littelfuse | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.24 | 4.80 | (2.84) | 8.56 | |
| FN | Fabrinet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.37 | 0.04 | 5.63 | (7.07) | 17.48 | |
| JBL | Jabil Circuit | (0.37) | 9 per month | 2.50 | 0.12 | 4.41 | (3.91) | 12.48 | |
| SANM | Sanmina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.23 | (8.26) | 27.70 | |
| MEI | Methode Electronics | 0.1 | 10 per month | 3.44 | 0.13 | 5.35 | (4.16) | 18.04 | |
| APH | Amphenol | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | (0.01) | 5.09 | (4.70) | 19.08 | |
| PLXS | Plexus Corp | (3.99) | 15 per month | 1.99 | 0.20 | 4.31 | (3.99) | 12.94 | |
| OSIS | OSI Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.86 | (4.34) | 14.59 | |
| BHE | Benchmark Electronics | 2.08 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.18 | 4.08 | (3.10) | 13.12 | |
| BELFA | Bel Fuse A | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.59 | 0.23 | 5.71 | (4.51) | 12.50 | |
| LYTS | LSI Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.09 | 3.58 | (2.76) | 18.90 | |
| VICR | Vicor | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.11 | 0.22 | 6.34 | (6.12) | 23.16 | |
| FLEX | Flex | (1.96) | 11 per month | 3.21 | 0.02 | 5.40 | (4.33) | 19.07 | |
| CLS | Celestica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.75 | (0) | 6.90 | (9.66) | 28.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for TE Connectivity
For every potential investor in TEL, whether a beginner or expert, TE Connectivity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TEL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TEL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TE Connectivity's price trends.TE Connectivity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TE Connectivity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TE Connectivity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TE Connectivity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TE Connectivity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TE Connectivity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TE Connectivity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TE Connectivity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TE Connectivity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 124130.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8633 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.05 | |||
| Day Median Price | 220.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 222.69 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 10.93 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 10.55 |
TE Connectivity Risk Indicators
The analysis of TE Connectivity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TE Connectivity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Variance | 4.77 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TE Connectivity
The number of cover stories for TE Connectivity depends on current market conditions and TE Connectivity's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TE Connectivity is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TE Connectivity's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TE Connectivity Short Properties
TE Connectivity's future price predictability will typically decrease when TE Connectivity's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TE Connectivity often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TE Connectivity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TE Connectivity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 299 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TE Connectivity to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy TEL Stock please use our How to buy in TEL Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TE Connectivity. If investors know TEL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive TE Connectivity assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate TE Connectivity using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TE Connectivity's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TE Connectivity's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TE Connectivity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TE Connectivity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TE Connectivity's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.