Telecom Argentina Sa Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 18.42
| TEO Stock | USD 12.85 0.18 1.38% |
Telecom |
Telecom Argentina Target Price Odds to finish over 18.42
The tendency of Telecom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 18.42 or more in 90 days |
| 12.85 | 90 days | 18.42 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Telecom Argentina to move over $ 18.42 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Telecom Argentina SA probability density function shows the probability of Telecom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Telecom Argentina price to stay between its current price of $ 12.85 and $ 18.42 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.45 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Telecom Argentina will likely underperform. Additionally Telecom Argentina SA has an alpha of 0.7539, implying that it can generate a 0.75 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Telecom Argentina Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Telecom Argentina
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Telecom Argentina. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telecom Argentina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Telecom Argentina Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Telecom Argentina is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Telecom Argentina's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Telecom Argentina SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Telecom Argentina within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
Telecom Argentina Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Telecom Argentina for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Telecom Argentina can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Telecom Argentina appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Telecom Argentina SA has 2.22 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.48, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telecom Argentina has a current ratio of 0.32, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telecom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.06 T. Reported Net Loss for the year was (249.69 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (51.04 B). | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Kisan Telecom Third Quarter 2024 Earnings 83.00 loss per share |
Telecom Argentina Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Telecom Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Telecom Argentina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telecom Argentina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 285.3 B |
Telecom Argentina Technical Analysis
Telecom Argentina's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Telecom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Telecom Argentina SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Telecom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Telecom Argentina Predictive Forecast Models
Telecom Argentina's time-series forecasting models is one of many Telecom Argentina's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Telecom Argentina's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Telecom Argentina
Checking the ongoing alerts about Telecom Argentina for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Telecom Argentina help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Telecom Argentina appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Telecom Argentina SA has 2.22 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.48, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telecom Argentina has a current ratio of 0.32, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telecom to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| The entity reported the last year's revenue of 2.06 T. Reported Net Loss for the year was (249.69 B) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (51.04 B). | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Kisan Telecom Third Quarter 2024 Earnings 83.00 loss per share |
Check out Telecom Argentina Backtesting, Telecom Argentina Valuation, Telecom Argentina Correlation, Telecom Argentina Hype Analysis, Telecom Argentina Volatility, Telecom Argentina History as well as Telecom Argentina Performance. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telecom Argentina. If investors know Telecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telecom Argentina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.233 | Earnings Share 1.05 | Revenue Per Share 4 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.949 | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Telecom Argentina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telecom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telecom Argentina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telecom Argentina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telecom Argentina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telecom Argentina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telecom Argentina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telecom Argentina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telecom Argentina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.