Telecom Argentina Sa Stock Price Prediction

TEO Stock  USD 12.85  0.18  1.38%   
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Telecom Argentina's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

85

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Telecom Argentina's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Telecom Argentina SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Telecom Argentina's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.233
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.4
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.75)
Wall Street Target Price
6.8
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.68
Using Telecom Argentina hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Telecom Argentina SA from the perspective of Telecom Argentina response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Telecom Argentina to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Telecom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Telecom Argentina after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.15  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Telecom Argentina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Telecom Argentina's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.439.9813.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.0213.5717.12
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.375.906.55
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.120.350.75
Details

Telecom Argentina After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Telecom Argentina at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Telecom Argentina or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Telecom Argentina, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Telecom Argentina Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Telecom Argentina's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Telecom Argentina's historical news coverage. Telecom Argentina's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.60 and 17.70, respectively. We have considered Telecom Argentina's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.85
14.15
After-hype Price
17.70
Upside
Telecom Argentina is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Telecom Argentina is based on 3 months time horizon.

Telecom Argentina Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Telecom Argentina is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Telecom Argentina backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Telecom Argentina, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.00 
3.55
  1.30 
  0.08 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.85
14.15
10.12 
273.08  
Notes

Telecom Argentina Hype Timeline

On the 21st of November Telecom Argentina is traded for 12.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.3, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Telecom is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 10.12%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 1.0%. The volatility of related hype on Telecom Argentina is about 4610.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.93. Telecom Argentina SA has 2.22 T in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.48, which is OK given its current industry classification. Telecom Argentina has a current ratio of 0.32, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Telecom to invest in growth at high rates of return. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Telecom Argentina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Telecom Argentina Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Telecom Argentina's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Telecom Argentina's future price movements. Getting to know how Telecom Argentina's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Telecom Argentina may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TEFTelefonica SA ADR(0.02)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.12 (1.45) 6.16 
ORANOrange SA ADR(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.40 (1.92) 5.67 
SKMSK Telecom Co(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.11 (1.71) 5.94 
AMXAmerica Movil SAB 0.07 9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.58 (2.88) 7.18 
KTKT Corporation 0.05 10 per month 1.64  0.05  3.58 (2.09) 11.99 
TLKTelkom Indonesia Tbk(0.15)4 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.61 (3.19) 6.73 
PHIPLDT Inc ADR 0.27 4 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.83 (2.63) 6.09 
VIVTelefonica Brasil SA(0.10)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.43 (2.93) 7.79 
TIMBTIM Participacoes SA 0.15 6 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.43 (2.76) 8.48 
LBRDALiberty Broadband Srs 0.54 9 per month 1.52  0.13  4.70 (3.19) 33.07 

Telecom Argentina Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Telecom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Telecom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Telecom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Telecom Argentina Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Telecom Argentina stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Telecom Argentina SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Telecom Argentina based on analysis of Telecom Argentina hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Telecom Argentina's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Telecom Argentina's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0037090.0043073.23E-43.07E-4
Price To Sales Ratio0.530.576.056.35

Story Coverage note for Telecom Argentina

The number of cover stories for Telecom Argentina depends on current market conditions and Telecom Argentina's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Telecom Argentina is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Telecom Argentina's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Telecom Argentina Short Properties

Telecom Argentina's future price predictability will typically decrease when Telecom Argentina's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Telecom Argentina SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Telecom Argentina's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Telecom Argentina's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments285.3 B
When determining whether Telecom Argentina offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Telecom Argentina's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Telecom Argentina Sa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Telecom Argentina Sa Stock:
Check out Telecom Argentina Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Diversified Telecommunication Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Telecom Argentina. If investors know Telecom will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Telecom Argentina listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.233
Earnings Share
1.05
Revenue Per Share
K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.949
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Telecom Argentina is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Telecom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Telecom Argentina's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Telecom Argentina's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Telecom Argentina's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Telecom Argentina's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Telecom Argentina's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Telecom Argentina is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Telecom Argentina's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.