Tohoku Electric Power Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 7.19
| TEPCY Stock | USD 7.78 1.16 12.98% |
Tohoku |
Tohoku Electric Target Price Odds to finish below 7.19
The tendency of Tohoku Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.19 or more in 90 days |
| 7.78 | 90 days | 7.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tohoku Electric to drop to $ 7.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Tohoku Electric Power probability density function shows the probability of Tohoku Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Tohoku Electric Power price to stay between $ 7.19 and its current price of $7.78 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tohoku Electric Power has a beta of -0.3. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Tohoku Electric are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Tohoku Electric Power is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Tohoku Electric Power has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Tohoku Electric Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tohoku Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tohoku Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tohoku Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tohoku Electric Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tohoku Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tohoku Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tohoku Electric Power, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tohoku Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Tohoku Electric Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tohoku Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tohoku Electric Power can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tohoku Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tohoku Electric has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tohoku Electric Power has accumulated 2.37 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.05, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Tohoku Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tohoku Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tohoku Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tohoku Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tohoku to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tohoku Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.1 T. Net Loss for the year was (108.36 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.74 B). |
Tohoku Electric Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tohoku Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tohoku Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tohoku Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 499.8 M |
Tohoku Electric Technical Analysis
Tohoku Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tohoku Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tohoku Electric Power. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tohoku Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tohoku Electric Predictive Forecast Models
Tohoku Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tohoku Electric's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tohoku Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tohoku Electric Power
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tohoku Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tohoku Electric Power help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tohoku Electric generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tohoku Electric has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tohoku Electric Power has accumulated 2.37 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 3.05, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. Tohoku Electric Power has a current ratio of 0.75, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Tohoku Electric until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Tohoku Electric's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Tohoku Electric Power sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Tohoku to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Tohoku Electric's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 2.1 T. Net Loss for the year was (108.36 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (28.74 B). |
Additional Tools for Tohoku Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Tohoku Electric's price analysis, check to measure Tohoku Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tohoku Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Tohoku Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tohoku Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tohoku Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tohoku Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.