Tohoku Electric Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TEPCY Stock  USD 7.78  1.16  12.98%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tohoku Electric Power on the next trading day is expected to be 8.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.31. Tohoku Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Tohoku Electric Power is based on a synthetically constructed Tohoku Electricdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Tohoku Electric 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Tohoku Electric Power on the next trading day is expected to be 8.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tohoku Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tohoku Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tohoku Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Tohoku Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tohoku Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tohoku Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.19 and 10.43, respectively. We have considered Tohoku Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.78
8.81
Expected Value
10.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tohoku Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tohoku Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria78.5523
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0526
MADMean absolute deviation0.0562
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0072
SAESum of the absolute errors2.305
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Tohoku Electric Power 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Tohoku Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tohoku Electric Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tohoku Electric's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.147.789.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.438.079.71
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tohoku Electric

For every potential investor in Tohoku, whether a beginner or expert, Tohoku Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tohoku Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tohoku. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tohoku Electric's price trends.

Tohoku Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tohoku Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tohoku Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tohoku Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tohoku Electric Power Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tohoku Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tohoku Electric's current price.

Tohoku Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tohoku Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tohoku Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tohoku Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Tohoku Electric Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tohoku Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tohoku Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tohoku Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tohoku pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Tohoku Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Tohoku Electric's price analysis, check to measure Tohoku Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tohoku Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Tohoku Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tohoku Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tohoku Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tohoku Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.